toldailytopic: Should congress side with Obama and vote to raise the debt ceiling, or

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Alate_One

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What is your proposal to grow jobs?
We probably need a new WPA and other stimulus, perhaps more targeted to new technology. And before you complain about the last stimulus, most economists say that it actually did help. I think raising taxes on the tip top income earners could be used to help pay for it, since they are sitting on their profits.

The problem with long-term plans is that they can be changed by future Congresses.
That's true but having a plan in place is better than not having a plan in place.
 

Squishes

New member
As someone who studied and tutored econ in undergrad, and economics and law in law school, I can say with great confidence based on what you've said in this thread that, if you paid for an education in economics, you got ripped off - badly. This is macroeconomics, and not something that a Masters in management would have much reason to learn past a very basic intro level.

By the way, supply side isn't economics, it's ideology, and the label 'trickle down' isn't used pejoratively, but descriptively - its proponents claim that prosperity will 'trickle down' from the top, or, as Saint Reagan put it, a rising tide lifts all boats. Even republicans of the day knew it was crap, without the need for the last three decades of proof. Anyone advancing supply side these days is a complete hack living in a dream world, or billionaire-backed mouthpiece who doesn't care about the good of the country so long as they get theirs.

PL

Trickle-down works well when there is low unemployment and high demand. Otherwise the rich tend to sit on their money.
 

voltaire

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Squishes. The rich sit on their money when the likelihood of losing their shirts in an investment is high. The same goes for hiring new employees. Only when they see there is a solid basis for the economy to grow will they invest their money instead of sitting on it.
 
I would hardly call a Co-Nobel Prize winner a complete hack IMHO.
Nor would I - though he didn't get his nobel for supply-side advocacy. Don't confuse the acceptance that taxes affect incentives (which all economists accept, more or less) with run-of-the-mill supply side advocacy. My inclination would be to file him in the billionaire mouthpiece category, though in fairness I'm not familiar enough with his work to slap a label on him. Really, though, arguments to authority aside, all you have to know about supply-side you can see from graphs of ceo vs worker compensation in the last three decades. Supply-side policies have, unsurprisingly, left us in a giant demand hole. We have greatly increased production capacity, but because nearly all of the gains in productivity in the last three decades have gone to the wealthiest 1%, the vast majority of the country's capacity to SPEND is unchanged. We're able to produce FAR more than we demand, as a result.

PL
 

eameece

New member
Of course congress should raise the debt ceiling, no conditions. Tea Party blackmail only serves the wealthy, protecting their tax breaks. The rich created this deficit, not only with their economically-useless tax breaks, and the deregulation that sent our economy into a tailspin, but with their oil wars. They should pay for it. Their presidents created this debt, and they raised the debt ceiling 11 times. The Tea Party should take responsibility for their own failure under Reagan and Bush, and act to lower the deficit themselves by taxing themselves and cutting their own spending.

Meanwhile, some two-dozen plus Republicans in the House should join the Democrats and the Senate and accept McConnell's proposal, and break this attempt to cripple the American economy so that the rich can avoid higher taxes.
 

Squishes

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Squishes. The rich sit on their money when the likelihood of losing their shirts in an investment is high.

It is very unlikely that the rich will lose their shirts. But just like the prisoner's dilemma teaches us, the rich have incentives to sit on their money (which keeps the economy from growing which loses them money) unless lots of rich people are investing. That's why governments exist-- to get citizens out of these situations.

The same goes for hiring new employees. Only when they see there is a solid basis for the economy to grow will they invest their money instead of sitting on it.

Right. The rich are rational from withholding their money from the economy unless they have guarantees that all the rest of the rich will be doing so. It's the same reason why no one would invest in roads unless everyone else was doing so as well.
 

eameece

New member
Squishes. The rich sit on their money when the likelihood of losing their shirts in an investment is high. The same goes for hiring new employees. Only when they see there is a solid basis for the economy to grow will they invest their money instead of sitting on it.
Record profits are not a solid basis?
 

Samstarrett

New member
The Tea Party should take responsibility for their own failure under Reagan and Bush, and act to lower the deficit themselves by taxing themselves and cutting their own spending.

:AMR:

Wikipedia said:
The Tea Party movement (TPM) is an American populist[1][2][3] political movement that is generally recognized as conservative and libertarian,[4][5] and has sponsored protests and supported political candidates since 2009.

...their own failure under Reagan and Bush...

Wikipedia said:
...since 2009.

:AMR:
 

The Barbarian

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The two sides should grow up and acknowledge that neither side is going to get everything they want. There will have to be a compromise, unless they want to bring American down.

And they will, if they don't get an agreement.

The sad thing is, in a game of chicken, the person who cares the least, wins. Unless they both win.

And how many of you will continue to vote for democrats or republicans, even if they blow this one?
 

frostmanj

Subscriber
I do not mean any personal attack against you but saying that economic downturn ALWAYS means government should be cut is simply ludicrous and against every economic theory I have read. There are situations where government is taking up too much of the economy, but this is not at all the situation in the US at the present time. And lastly being educated does not necessarily mean you have your facts right.

I will concede point of not ALWAYS reducing. But I would love to see the economist who believes in growing the size of government during a recession defend his position.

As a matter of fact our government is at the highest percentage of GDP since World War II.
Us_gov_spending_history_1902_2010.png


Not sure where the percentage enters dangerous territory. I do know I have not heard of a revolution starting because the people thought they were taxed too little.

No, but most do. You can always find a few contrarians in any field of study. Perhaps you were taught by some? Because there are contrarians does not make them right!

No, but doesn't make them wrong either. The quote I referenced earlier was from a co-Nobel Prize winner. That doesn't make him right, but it does make him credible.

So much of the innovation and productivity of the early 50s was through government fostering innovation.!

Hey, I'm all for fostering innovation, but that can also be done by the government getting out of the way of private innovators. Or...gasp...giving them taxbreaks for taking risk. I would put forth that the vast majority of innovation in the U.S. came from the private sector. Carnegie, Chrysler, Edison, Ford, are all examples.

Except the actual tax rates are quite low. Perhaps you missed the news report of GE not only not paying taxes but receiving a tax credit.

Yep. The facts support you here. So how do you explain the percentage of GDP. Could it be that our lower tax rates have in fact INCREASED government revenue? BTW, the answer is yes.

Except they did when said systems were implemented, especially for the elderly.

Point taken. Yes, there needs to be social safety nets. Just not for those who can support themselves.

And I think you are, in essence, repeating the myth of the welfare queen which I think is largely overblown. That said I don't think the social safety net is operated as well as it could be.

I assure you welfare abusers do exist, therefore not a myth. We could argue all day about the level of this problem and how much is too much. I am glad you agree it could be improved.

So a sales tax only on luxury items? In general sales taxes tend to hit the poor much harder than other sorts of taxes. There was more income equality when tax levels were MORE progressive, correlation doesn't equal causation but I don't know any evidence your proposal is one that will help the problem.

You know what...you're right. There is no evidence. Hasn't been tried yet.


But the problem is a flat tax is not actually equal..

I agree with you here. The rich get most their income from capital gains vs. income. (Two different tax codes.) The poor are almost entirely taxed on income. A flat 20% income tax would not really touch the top earners. I concede your point. I didn't propose a flat tax though.

No offense but I don't see how tying taxes to luxury spending would help, the rich would still be providing most of the income for government and the poor would still be providing little.

I agree, but it would provide incentive for saving at all levels. Besides, not much fun being rich if you can't spend it. To make things fairer, you could top the housing tax protection at the median house cost. Mansions would still be taxable.


I think the superior option is to implement real campaign finance reform (presumably changing out some supreme court) that stops the rich from buying their politicians and hands real power back to the people. Making election days into federal holidays so the working poor CAN actually vote. When I canvassed in the 2008 election I found quite a number of poor people that were unsure they could vote because they were working. I'm aware businesses are SUPPOSED to allow workers to vote, but often it simply doesn't happen.

Good idea.

As I said if said money is sitting in a bank account or a mutual fund or a stock option it's not going to do anything for anyone other than bankers and the rich person. Force the money into the economy and it works for everyone. That makes sense doesn't it?

Except that banks, stocks (mutual funds included) only make money when business grow or declare dividends. (Yes, some make money off of speculation, but much like gambling it only goes so far). At the end of the day investments do make their way back into the economy. Remember, most retirement accounts at all economic levels are tied to savings and investment. It's not just the rich.

Do you have a citation for this?

http://www.whitehouse.gov/issues/taxes/tax-receipt

If you add national defense with interest on the debt with an estimated 20% admin cost across the Govt (which is actually very good...even the best non-profits are in this range) you get real close to 40% not going back into the economy.

What you just said doesn't make any sense. The lack of profit is a GOOD THING from the perspective of the taxpayer. You pay a minimum for the goods and services and there's no need to enrich someone in charge on top of paying expenses. Those expenses employ people which again must spend their money to stay alive funneling said money back into the larger economy. Privatizing parts of governments is usually a bad thing because of profit margins, if a profit must be made, government money must go into that profit margin as well. Of course some aspects of government can be effectively privatized but profit margin often is the problem.

Lack of profit in the government is ABSOLUTELY a good thing. Government's tend to go the other direction though, to wastefullness (or at least inefficiency).
 

CabinetMaker

Member of the 10 year club on TOL!!
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I think they should raise it. Not raising it may be perceived as a default on our obligations. Not raising it will certainly send the stock markets and our economy tumbling. Its the kind of thing that can lead to shooting wars.
 

voltaire

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Quote:
Originally Posted by voltaire
Only when they see there is a solid basis for the economy to grow will they invest their money instead of sitting on it.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Alate_One
And what's going to make that happen, Magic?


Quote:
Originally Posted by some other dude
Voting Obama out of office and replacing him with someone with experience.

That summarizes it , yes. Stabilize the economy. Don't punish profits. Loosen regulations. Bring inflation down. Lower the amount of money spent in the public sector because when government spending takes the lions share of what is calculated as GDP, there is less money available for private investment. Government is a poor allocator of where money should be spent. The following will make for a solid economic foundation: Smaller government spending. Fewer regulations(obamacare). Lower corporate taxes. Stop bailing out companies. Stop bailing out people in foreclosure. Let the foreclosure process to proceed as it always has in the past , and in so doing, let the housing market bottom out so it can grow back again in a healthy manner. All these things will make for a healthy economic environment and encourage the rich to invest their money.
 

voltaire

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Quote:
Originally Posted by voltaire
Squishes. The rich sit on their money when the likelihood of losing their shirts in an investment is high.

Originally Posted by Squishes
It is very unlikely that the rich will lose their shirts. But just like the prisoner's dilemma teaches us, the rich have incentives to sit on their money (which keeps the economy from growing which loses them money) unless lots of rich people are investing. That's why governments exist-- to get citizens out of these situations.

Originally Posted by voltaire
The same goes for hiring new employees. Only when they see there is a solid basis for the economy to grow will they invest their money instead of sitting on it.

Originally Posted by Squishes
Right. The rich are rational from withholding their money from the economy unless they have guarantees that all the rest of the rich will be doing so. It's the same reason why no one would invest in roads unless everyone else was doing so as well.


Yes, the rich will lose their shirts if they invest in the average small business today like giving them a loan to expand or hire new people. Most small businesses cannot survive in today's economy especially with government regulations. Other examples include investing in private jet building companies or las vegas casinos. Both of these are subject to class warfare tactics of obama. These and businesses like them are likely to punished without warning and investing in them would be a risky proposition.
I don't understand what other rich people investing their money has to do with any one particular investor investing his money. The rich are rational for witholding their money from the economy but whether all rich folks are investing are not doesn't even enter into their consideration.
 
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