Whistles a happy 1-0 start tune.Was @ Gia
Line: Gian 3.5
Split: 69/31 Gia
Pick: I'll take the Eli and the better team to cover that easily.
Here's hoping my smile isn't a rictus by the end of next Monday night.
The rest of Week 3
Atl @ Dal:
Line: Atl. .5
Split: Atl 77/33
Pick: Lose your qb, wr and find yourself a half point dog? Someone really wants the Dallas faithful pilling their hopes onto that defense. And it's a really good defense...but you still have to score points and as good as Atlanta's defense can make anyone, it's hard to see the match up as being a toss up. Atlanta.
Cin @ Bal
Line: Bal 2.5
Split: Cin 57/43
Pick: A split between the line and the bets on this one and you can understand why. Everyone is waiting on Baltimore to turn it around a little and no one is confident about the Bengals on the road. I'm pulled in both directions, but I'll go with Cin to keep playing well and Baltimore to stumble more without their defensive captain on the field. Give me the Bengals.
Oak @ Cle
Line: Cle 3.5
Split: Oak 54/46
Pick: Another split...so you put Johnny back on the bench for winning and showing something to go with a guy who is going to get you where, exactly? And this is why Cleveland is Cleveland. I'll take Oakland.
Ind @ Ten
Line: Ind 3.5
Split: Ind 72/28
Pick: Can Indy remind us why they went into this year as AFC darkhorse or better for a SB appearance? Can Ten decide which team it means to be? Tennessee got beat up by a Cleveland team with a spark at qb. This qb should do better. Indy.
EDIT: moved off the Indy pick late. Felt too much like a homer nod...and I still picked them to win straight up so it wasn't like I turned on them, exactly.
Pit@ SL
Line: Pit 1.5
Split: Pit 80/20
Pick: Seems like the clear crowd/line no brainer, but it's a road game for the Steelers and SL is a wild card at present. Either way this one isn't an upset, but I'll go with Pit to keep things moving.
SD @ Min
Line: Min 2.5
Split: SD 52/48
Pick: Another pick'em game...the Vikings have the potential to be a solid playoff team, but I haven't seen that coming together yet. SD is always good and never quite good enough. Minnesota has the better defense and on paper should be scaring people. I'll take them at home to begin the process.
Jac @ NE
Line: NE 13.5
Split: NE 69/31
Pick: a huge line and still almost seventy percent on board for it...I hate teams like Jacksonville. 30th in offense and 8th in defense. Meaning they shouldn't beat you but they can beat up on a big line. The Pats put a forty burger on a good Buffalo defense with a better coach. I'll take NE to do enough here.
NO @ Car
Line: Car 6.5
Split: Car 61/39
Pick: the Saints have NO fans marching in...to bars along Bourbon Street. I'm no fan of the Panthers or the line, but after the TB debacle, I'm all out of good will here. Carolina to cover.
Phi @ Jets
Line: Jet 2.5
Split: Jet 65/35
Pick: did anyone think, going into this year, you'd see Philly a dog to the Jets? Even with yet another pick'em game. Me either. And I'm taking Philly to find a way here, because if they don't this season is making a hard turn in the wrong direction.
TB @ Hou
Line: Hou 6.5
Split: TB 58/42
Pick: Houston is nearly a td favorite? Every time Vegas does this I get nervous. Could be an upset, but I have Houston by more, so I'm staying with the home team.
Sf @ Arz
Line: Arz 6.5
Split: Arz 73/27
Pick: Doesn't look like anyone's buying SF after that drubbing the Steelers gave them. Arizona is looking solid in all phases of their game. I like them by better than ten so I'm taking the Cardinals to cover here.
Buf @ Mia
Line: Mia 2.5
Split: Buf 66/34
Pick: Miami looked the way they tend to at the end of the year in their loss to Jacksonville, which is to say not bad but not good enough. Buffalo showed offensive power in their loss to NE and Ryan can right the defense. I'll take Buf in the mild upset.
Chi @ Sea
Line: Sea 14.5
Split: Sea 54/46
Pick: the only thing moving the split is the size of the line. I hate the line, but I'm going with the Hawks anyway. They need a statement game and they need it now. Chicago will have to do.
Den @ Det
Line: Den 4.5
Split: Den 69/31
Pick: I like Denver to figure out early if they can run or should fan and take this one by seven or better.
KC @ GB
Line: GB 7.5
Split: GB 57/43
Pick: the game to look forward to...unless you're a Chiefs' fan. Call it 34-24
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