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Is there any obvious evidence today for the biblical global Flood?

Clete

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Your denial without understanding is duly noted.
The fact that you ignore all of the physical forces involved is also duly noted again.
Repeat yourself all you like. Your implication that such details are relevant doesn't make it so. At the end of the day, we are talking about an explosion of one sort or another producing an orderly system of planetary bodies billions of miles away from the energy source that supposedly produced it.

Once again, explain how that system came to be is not my burden. Your position is the one making affirmative claims. Claims that are 100% correctly characterized as being "an explosion of one sort or another producing an orderly system of planetary bodies billions of miles away from the energy source that supposedly produced it".

In other words, if you want to claim that there are forces involved sufficient to control the position and relative velocities of these bodies that accounts for their current positions, orbits and overall condition (i.e. gravitationally rounded and not a chaotic jumble or rocks and water ice) then by all means show it to us and explain how it is that such a system could possibly have been created as a result of a jet of mostly water being pushed off the earth by the weight of the land masses that forced these jets of material out of the great deep.
 

Idolater

Popetard
'Agree with @Clete. I never saw the bridge between the fountains of the deep (Dr. Walt Brown's HPT) and comets and/or asteroids¹—and its connection to Pluto's system was even further and farther out there.

Clete's argument is more-or-less the same argument used against abiogenesis and the theory of evolution. The odds are just staggering.²


¹ Which doesn't mean that I'm not always hoping, that when they find this or that molecule fragment on an asteroid or on Mars, that they trace it to Earth—because I am. I hope that the HPT is right, so I do hope that there is conclusive evidence iow proof, that the Earth ejected in a c. planetary plume¹ᵃ a bunch of matter, that landed on comets (or that became comets), asteroids, Mars, the Moon, etc.

¹ᵃ Which we see happening rn in our own Solar System, so it's not at all far fetched.​

² ofc the odds involved with the theories of abiogenesis and evolution are in another galaxy of staggering, from the odds for the complete canonical HPT (including Pluto etc.). Canonical HPT is way more likely than abiogenesis, or evolution. But the odds of abiogenesis PLUS evolution ofc is just gay insanity.³

³ iow there's zero chance that happened. But there's not zero chance that canonical HPT is true.⁴

⁴ I just, and Clete also, find the c. planetary plume part of HPT to be FAR MORE likely than the c. Pluto part. And we don't see any reason why if we accept the planetary plume theory of the Flood⁵ that we have to accept with the same fidelity that the plume theory caused Pluto.

⁵ It's sometimes good to point out and remind ourselves that we do all believe in the Flood, so this discourse is all in the category of Flood theology.⁶

⁶ iow like with theology proper discourse,⁷ Our Flood theology is that it is true, and we're discussing how.

⁷ Each of us believes in God, we are only discussing the theory or philosophy of God when we do theology proper mostly, and this discourse itt is Flood theology.⁸

⁸ Many people's Flood theology is that the Flood is a myth and legend that never happened. Not us. We're on the same team re the Flood.
 

Right Divider

Body part
In other words, if you want to claim that there are forces involved sufficient to control the position and relative velocities of these bodies that accounts for their current positions, orbits and overall condition (i.e. gravitationally rounded and not a chaotic jumble or rocks and water ice) then by all means show it to us and explain how it is that such a system could possibly have been created as a result of a jet of mostly water being pushed off the earth by the weight of the land masses that forced these jets of material out of the great deep.
Dr. Brown's book (along with Bryan Nickel's videos) has more than adequately done so.
 

Clete

Truth Smacker
Silver Subscriber
Dr. Brown's book (along with Bryan Nickel's videos) has more than adequately done so.
Unresponsive, unsupported claims do not an argument make. (i.e. Saying it doesn't make it so.)

They haven't done so because it cannot be done. Explosions do not create more order, they create far less. Pluto, flat out, was not ever part of the Earth - period. The second law of thermodynamics is all the proof anyone needs. A single body here or there like Haley's comet or whatever - perhaps. But a complex, multi-bodied exquisitely stable planetary system 4 billion miles away - not a chance. It did not happen.
 

Derf

Well-known member
'Agree with @Clete. I never saw the bridge between the fountains of the deep (Dr. Walt Brown's HPT) and comets and/or asteroids¹—and its connection to Pluto's system was even further and farther out there.

Clete's argument is more-or-less the same argument used against abiogenesis and the theory of evolution. The odds are just staggering.²


¹ Which doesn't mean that I'm not always hoping, that when they find this or that molecule fragment on an asteroid or on Mars, that they trace it to Earth—because I am. I hope that the HPT is right, so I do hope that there is conclusive evidence iow proof, that the Earth ejected in a c. planetary plume¹ᵃ a bunch of matter, that landed on comets (or that became comets), asteroids, Mars, the Moon, etc.

¹ᵃ Which we see happening rn in our own Solar System, so it's not at all far fetched.​

² ofc the odds involved with the theories of abiogenesis and evolution are in another galaxy of staggering, from the odds for the complete canonical HPT (including Pluto etc.). Canonical HPT is way more likely than abiogenesis, or evolution. But the odds of abiogenesis PLUS evolution ofc is just gay insanity.³

³ iow there's zero chance that happened. But there's not zero chance that canonical HPT is true.⁴

⁴ I just, and Clete also, find the c. planetary plume part of HPT to be FAR MORE likely than the c. Pluto part. And we don't see any reason why if we accept the planetary plume theory of the Flood⁵ that we have to accept with the same fidelity that the plume theory caused Pluto.

⁵ It's sometimes good to point out and remind ourselves that we do all believe in the Flood, so this discourse is all in the category of Flood theology.⁶

⁶ iow like with theology proper discourse,⁷ Our Flood theology is that it is true, and we're discussing how.

⁷ Each of us believes in God, we are only discussing the theory or philosophy of God when we do theology proper mostly, and this discourse itt is Flood theology.⁸

⁸ Many people's Flood theology is that the Flood is a myth and legend that never happened. Not us. We're on the same team re the Flood.
Nested footnotes? Why not just leave them out?
 

JudgeRightly

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It would have lit up the sky like a Christmas tree. The biggest meteor showers recorded in history would have paled in comparison. However much you think landed on the Moon, 10,000 times that would have fallen back to Earth and every piece of it the size of a grain of sand or larger would have burned as it fell back through the atmosphere.

Of course, the only people left alive to witness it would have been shut up inside the Ark so maybe they just missed the greatest meteor shower of all time.

There was one window, near the roof:
Genesis 6:16a KJV — A window shalt thou make to the ark, and in a cubit shalt thou finish it above;

So Noah and his family might have witnessed your shower.

Maybe. But visibility is being assumed here.

Under HPT, the early Flood atmosphere would not have been a clear night sky with a convenient view of meteors. The fountains of the great deep would have put enormous amounts of water vapor, spray, cloud, mist, sediment, and debris into the atmosphere. The earth was also under sustained catastrophic rainfall, at least for the first forty days.

So even if fallback material produced atmospheric light, it does not follow that Noah had a clear view of it through the ark window. A window exists, yes. A clear sky does not necessarily follow.

Also, if much of the fallback occurred while the waters still covered the earth, then debris that did not burn up could have hit the global ocean, been pulverized, buried, or incorporated into Flood deposits. That affects what kind of evidence we should expect.

It is not merely a mathematics problem. The mathematical difficulty reflects something true about reality itself, namely that extremely small differences in initial conditions can produce radically different long-term outcomes.

I agree with this part.

The three-body problem is not merely an artificial human math puzzle. It reflects real dynamical sensitivity in multi-body gravitational systems.

But that does not get you to impossibility.

The three-body problem shows that such systems are complex, sensitive to initial conditions, and difficult to predict in closed form. It does not show that stable or quasi-stable multi-body systems cannot form, cannot persist, or must have been specially created in their present arrangement.

So the correct conclusion is:

“Pluto’s system is dynamically nontrivial.”

Not:

“Therefore Pluto’s system could not possibly result from any post-ejection process.”

That stronger conclusion still has to be argued.

This does not mean that every system containing three or more bodies is automatically unstable, which seems to be how you are interpreting my argument.

I am not interpreting you that way, at least not any longer. I understand that you are making a sensitivity/stability argument, not saying every three-body system instantly falls apart.

My point is that sensitivity cuts both ways. If the outcome depends heavily on initial conditions, trajectories, near-encounters, relative velocities, collisions, captures, and energy exchanges, then those details matter enormously. You cannot simply label the event a “chaotic steam explosion” and treat that as though it rules out every possible pathway.

The three-body problem tells us the pathway would be complex. It does not prove there is no pathway.

Pluto has orbited the sun less than 20 times throughout the whole history of mankind. There HAS NOT been anywhere near close to the amount of time it would have taken for that system to develop to the state we observe it in.

That point cuts both ways.

If Pluto has completed fewer than about twenty solar orbits since the Flood, then it has also had relatively few full solar-orbit cycles for external perturbations from the broader solar system to destabilize it.

Meanwhile, the internal Pluto-Charon system operates on much shorter timescales. Charon and the small moons orbit the Pluto-Charon barycenter in days to weeks, not in 248-year cycles.

So “Pluto has only gone around the Sun about twenty times” does not automatically count against post-Flood stabilization. It means the detailed trajectory history matters: how the material got there, what it interacted with on the way, what relative velocities were involved, and how much local internal cycling occurred after capture or association.

My arguments are based on the realities that exist, not the least of which are the facts that Pluto is many billions of miles away from Earth, that there are six quite small objects (on astronomical scales) in a very low gravitational environment that almost any other physical force would perturb and destabilize, and that Pluto and it's moons have not been so perturbed and are in exquisitely stable, almost perfectly circular orbits!

But Pluto’s system should not be overstated.

It is not six little planets and/or moons in serene clockwork order.

Pluto and Charon are rounded. The smaller moons are not gravitationally rounded planetary bodies. They are small, irregular bodies orbiting the Pluto-Charon barycenter. Some of them also have chaotic rotations. The system is compact and organized in some respects, but it is also dynamically strange.

So yes, Pluto is a hard case. I grant that. But describing it as an “exquisitely stable” system of “planetary bodies” makes it sound cleaner than it is.

I do not need to know anything more about what it does or how it behaves beyond the fact that it is an uncontrolled explosion, columnated as it may be, that supposedly is capable of accidentally creating a stable binary planetary system some 3 or 4 billion miles away from where the explosion happened.

But if the mechanism is what you are objecting to, then the details of the mechanism matter.

If HPT is proposing supercritical water under extreme pressure, columnated flow, pressure-release acceleration, entrained rock, and related ejecta streams, then reducing that to “an uncontrolled steam explosion” is not answering the theory. It is replacing the theory with a simpler version that is easier to dismiss.

You may still reject HPT’s mechanism. Fine. But the mechanism has to be addressed as stated.

Think of it this way. Imagine a much easier scenario. Let's pretend someone was trying to create a stable system that rested inside one of Earth's Lagrange points...

I do not think this analogy works.

You are imagining material being shot with control over only amount and direction, and then asking whether that alone would create a stable six-body system. But that strips out the very variables that matter: velocity distribution, mass distribution, angular momentum, related ejecta streams, collisions, fragmentation, dissipation, gravitational interaction, and capture.

HPT is not claiming that direction alone magically produces Pluto. It is claiming that material ejected from the same catastrophic event could have related trajectories and velocity ranges, then undergo fragmentation, collision, clustering, capture, and stabilization.

So the analogy does not address the claim. It removes the relevant physical variables and then declares the result impossible.

Would such a shot, no matter how many times we did it, ever end up created a system where six gravitationally rounded bodies of material ended up orbiting each other - at all?

Again, Pluto’s system is not six gravitationally rounded bodies.

Pluto and Charon are rounded. The small moons are irregular. That matters.

You cannot shoot what is effectively a shotgun blast of material and have any reasonable hope that it's going to end up spinning around itself in a stable clockwork fashion.

That assumes the ejecta behaves like a random shotgun blast of unrelated pellets.

But that is exactly what we are disputing. Related ejecta streams are not the same thing as random pellets moving in all directions at unrelated velocities. Material launched from the same event, from related source regions, and in similar velocity ranges can share a common frame of motion.

Relative velocity matters.

Systems simply do no go from a state of massive entropy to almost none (comparatively speaking).

That is too broad.

The second law does not mean local order can never arise from energetic processes. If it did, gravity could never form rings, disks, clusters, binaries, rubble piles, sedimentary sorting, crystals, or any other locally ordered structure.

The question is not whether order can ever arise after a violent energetic event. It can.

The question is whether HPT has the right energy, trajectories, interactions, dissipation, and time to account for Pluto’s system specifically. That is a fair question, but the second law does not settle it by itself.

At the end of the day, we are talking about an explosion of one sort or another producing an orderly system of planetary bodies billions of miles away from the energy source that supposedly produced it.

At the end of the day, that is your framing.

My framing is different: HPT proposes a catastrophic rupture of the fountains of the great deep, involving high-pressure supercritical water and entrained rock, producing ejecta streams that later undergo gravitational sorting, collision, capture, dissipation, and stabilization.

That may fail. But it needs to fail as HPT, not as “a steam explosion accidentally made six planets.”

In other words, if you want to claim that there are forces involved sufficient to control the position and relative velocities of these bodies that accounts for their current positions, orbits and overall condition... then by all means show it to us...

That is fair as a burden question. HPT does have to account for the relative velocities, trajectories, captures, and final configurations.

But that burden is not met or refuted by saying “explosions do not create order” or “the second law proves it impossible.” Those are too broad.

The actual dispute is whether HPT’s proposed ejecta mechanism, followed by gravitational interaction and stabilization, can account for the scale and organization of the debris populations.

That is where the argument has to be made.

They haven't done so because it cannot be done. Explosions do not create more order, they create far less. Pluto, flat out, was not ever part of the Earth - period. The second law of thermodynamics is all the proof anyone needs.

No, the second law is not “all the proof anyone needs.”

The second law does not forbid local decreases in entropy or local increases in order in an open system with energy flow, gravity, collisions, and dissipation. If it did, an enormous amount of ordinary physical structure would be impossible.

An explosion can scatter material, yes. But the aftermath of an energetic event is not automatically permanent maximum disorder. Material can expand, cool, sort, collide, fragment, shed energy, clump, and become gravitationally associated.

So if HPT fails, it fails because its proposed mechanism cannot supply the needed energy, trajectories, capture conditions, and stabilization. It does not fail merely because “an explosion cannot create order.”

A single body here or there like Haley's comet or whatever - perhaps. But a complex, multi-bodied exquisitely stable planetary system 4 billion miles away - not a chance. It did not happen.

That is still the conclusion, not the demonstration.

I agree that Pluto is harder than a comet. I agree that Pluto/Charon is harder than scattered debris. I agree that this is one of the more difficult parts of the debris claim.

But “harder” is not “impossible,” and “not a chance” is not an argument by itself.

The real question remains whether HPT’s mechanism can account for the mass, energy, relative velocities, trajectories, and stabilization involved. That is the argument to be had.
 

Right Divider

Body part
While extreme kinetic energy generated by the Earth's subterranean waters was initially responsible for launching rocks and water into outer space, several other forces and mechanisms propelled these objects further out into the solar system:

  • The Radiometer Effect: As these launched materials formed into asteroids or swarms of rocks, ice, and gas, the Sun heated their sunward side while the night side radiated heat into the cold vacuum of space. Hot gas molecules striking the hot side of an asteroid bounced off with much higher energy and momentum than cold gas molecules hitting the cold side, creating a jetting action similar to air escaping a balloon. Powered entirely by solar energy, this steady thrust pushed the asteroids and swarms to spiral outward, away from the Sun.
  • Thermodynamic Thrust (Carnot Engines): Larger swarms had enough gravity to firmly hold onto their gases. Because the trapped gases on the sunlit side reached much higher pressures than the gases on the frigid night side, the swarms acted as simple Carnot engines. This temperature and pressure difference delivered a continuous thermodynamic work that provided further outward thrust.
  • The Solar Sail Effect: The massive, expanded swarms of rocks, ice, and gas also acted as giant solar sails. Photons (particles of light) from the Sun continuously transferred their momentum to the objects they struck, creating a steady, accumulating "wind" that accelerated the swarms farther into space.
  • Gravitational Perturbations (Gravity Boosts): As these objects spiraled outward through the solar system, many passed near the giant planets (Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, or Neptune) and received powerful gravity boosts. These gravitational interactions flung many of the swarms even farther into the outer solar system, pushing the largest ones beyond Neptune where they became Trans-Neptunian Objects (TNOs) scattered across the Kuiper Belt.
 

Derf

Well-known member
Maybe. But visibility is being assumed here.

Under HPT, the early Flood atmosphere would not have been a clear night sky with a convenient view of meteors. The fountains of the great deep would have put enormous amounts of water vapor, spray, cloud, mist, sediment, and debris into the atmosphere. The earth was also under sustained catastrophic rainfall, at least for the first forty days.

So even if fallback material produced atmospheric light, it does not follow that Noah had a clear view of it through the ark window. A window exists, yes. A clear sky does not necessarily follow.

Also, if much of the fallback occurred while the waters still covered the earth, then debris that did not burn up could have hit the global ocean, been pulverized, buried, or incorporated into Flood deposits.
I agree that early flood would have poor visibility, but see no reason to limit the high meteoric shower times to early flood--the larger pieces, maybe. And trying to think like a scared family under catastrophic conditions, I doubt I would open a window as long as there was constant heavy rain and debris hitting the roof. Curiosity turned Lot's wife into salt.
 

Derf

Well-known member
While extreme kinetic energy generated by the Earth's subterranean waters was initially responsible for launching rocks and water into outer space, several other forces and mechanisms propelled these objects further out into the solar system:

  • The Radiometer Effect: As these launched materials formed into asteroids or swarms of rocks, ice, and gas, the Sun heated their sunward side while the night side radiated heat into the cold vacuum of space. Hot gas molecules striking the hot side of an asteroid bounced off with much higher energy and momentum than cold gas molecules hitting the cold side, creating a jetting action similar to air escaping a balloon. Powered entirely by solar energy, this steady thrust pushed the asteroids and swarms to spiral outward, away from the Sun.
  • Thermodynamic Thrust (Carnot Engines): Larger swarms had enough gravity to firmly hold onto their gases. Because the trapped gases on the sunlit side reached much higher pressures than the gases on the frigid night side, the swarms acted as simple Carnot engines. This temperature and pressure difference delivered a continuous thermodynamic work that provided further outward thrust.
  • The Solar Sail Effect: The massive, expanded swarms of rocks, ice, and gas also acted as giant solar sails. Photons (particles of light) from the Sun continuously transferred their momentum to the objects they struck, creating a steady, accumulating "wind" that accelerated the swarms farther into space.
  • Gravitational Perturbations (Gravity Boosts): As these objects spiraled outward through the solar system, many passed near the giant planets (Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, or Neptune) and received powerful gravity boosts. These gravitational interactions flung many of the swarms even farther into the outer solar system, pushing the largest ones beyond Neptune where they became Trans-Neptunian Objects (TNOs) scattered across the Kuiper Belt.
I'm not sure on the radiometer effect description where the "hot gas molecules striking the hot side" are coming from. Are they from other objects also being heated by the sun? If so, to push the asteroid away from the sun, they would have to be coming from the cold side of other objects, and working in opposition to the outward movement. (i.e., I think the description might be wrong--radiometer effect is usually demonstrated in a vacuum, where the only available molecules are from the asteroid itself.)
 

Right Divider

Body part
I'm not sure on the radiometer effect description where the "hot gas molecules striking the hot side" are coming from. Are they from other objects also being heated by the sun? If so, to push the asteroid away from the sun, they would have to be coming from the cold side of other objects, and working in opposition to the outward movement. (i.e., I think the description might be wrong--radiometer effect is usually demonstrated in a vacuum, where the only available molecules are from the asteroid itself.)
Gases, such as water vapor, were abundant in the inner solar system for years following the global flood. As asteroids (which initially formed as large, low-density swarms of rocks, ice, and gas) orbited the Sun, the Sun intensely heated their near side while their far side radiated heat into the cold vacuum of outer space. This created an extreme temperature difference across the body.

Because of these temperature differences, hot gas molecules striking the sunward side of the asteroid bounced off with significantly more energy and momentum than the colder molecules striking the dark side. This unequal repelling force created a jetting action that pushed in the opposite direction of the escaping gas, acting much like air rapidly escaping from a balloon. Furthermore, these loosely packed swarms had an astronomical number of hot edges and a large volume, which magnified the total radiometer pressure and produced a massive amount of thrust.

Because the asteroids were spinning, the hottest "time of day" on their surface was actually a few hours after "high noon". This meant the jetting thrust had a tangential component that steadily added angular momentum to the asteroid's orbit. Coupled with the fact that the Sun's gravity at that distance is relatively weak and outer space provides almost no resistance, this steady, solar-powered thrust easily accelerated these low-density swarms and pushed them to spiral outward away from the Sun. This outward spiraling continued until the driving gases in the inner solar system eventually dissipated.
 

Clete

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Maybe. But visibility is being assumed here.

Under HPT, the early Flood atmosphere would not have been a clear night sky with a convenient view of meteors. The fountains of the great deep would have put enormous amounts of water vapor, spray, cloud, mist, sediment, and debris into the atmosphere. The earth was also under sustained catastrophic rainfall, at least for the first forty days.

So even if fallback material produced atmospheric light, it does not follow that Noah had a clear view of it through the ark window. A window exists, yes. A clear sky does not necessarily follow.

Also, if much of the fallback occurred while the waters still covered the earth, then debris that did not burn up could have hit the global ocean, been pulverized, buried, or incorporated into Flood deposits. That affects what kind of evidence we should expect.



I agree with this part.

The three-body problem is not merely an artificial human math puzzle. It reflects real dynamical sensitivity in multi-body gravitational systems.

But that does not get you to impossibility.

The three-body problem shows that such systems are complex, sensitive to initial conditions, and difficult to predict in closed form. It does not show that stable or quasi-stable multi-body systems cannot form, cannot persist, or must have been specially created in their present arrangement.

So the correct conclusion is:

“Pluto’s system is dynamically nontrivial.”

Not:

“Therefore Pluto’s system could not possibly result from any post-ejection process.”

That stronger conclusion still has to be argued.



I am not interpreting you that way, at least not any longer. I understand that you are making a sensitivity/stability argument, not saying every three-body system instantly falls apart.

My point is that sensitivity cuts both ways. If the outcome depends heavily on initial conditions, trajectories, near-encounters, relative velocities, collisions, captures, and energy exchanges, then those details matter enormously. You cannot simply label the event a “chaotic steam explosion” and treat that as though it rules out every possible pathway.

The three-body problem tells us the pathway would be complex. It does not prove there is no pathway.
Yes it does prove it.

It proves it for the same reason that Enyart's "Evolve" computer program back in the 90s proves the theory of evolution false. Not because it is mathematically "impossible" but because it is so wildly unlikely that it is practically impossible. Pluto's system did NOT arise by accident as a result of any sort of explosion, steam or otherwise, that happened on Earth a mere 4300 years ago or so.

That point cuts both ways.

If Pluto has completed fewer than about twenty solar orbits since the Flood, then it has also had relatively few full solar-orbit cycles for external perturbations from the broader solar system to destabilize it.
It could never have been stable in the first place. If you shot that much material from the proverbial shot gun that was the beginning of Noah's Flood, according to the theory, 50 million times, it still would never result in such a complex and exquisitely stable system as we see with the Pluto system.

Meanwhile, the internal Pluto-Charon system operates on much shorter timescales. Charon and the small moons orbit the Pluto-Charon barycenter in days to weeks, not in 248-year cycles.
Yeah and they do it in such a way that the system is stable not over centuries nor millennia but over thousands of millennia. That is, it will remain stable over the next several billions of years.

So “Pluto has only gone around the Sun about twenty times” does not automatically count against post-Flood stabilization. It means the detailed trajectory history matters: how the material got there, what it interacted with on the way, what relative velocities were involved, and how much local internal cycling occurred after capture or association.
It matters because there isn't a boat load of debris accompanying the system. It's more or less six discreet bodies, not 600,000 (likely far more than that, really) like it would be if it were a fresh result of a steam explosion from 4 billion miles away.

But Pluto’s system should not be overstated.

It is not six little planets and/or moons in serene clockwork order.
Yeah, it pretty much is exactly that. All six bodies are in orbital resonance, where one body's orbit is exactly twice or three times as long as another. The only way that would be achievable from any sort of explosion is for it to have started as a cloud of stuff that coalesced over time into those places where stable orbits would naturally fall into place, but then we're back to the fact that the system, according to the theory, has only existed for less than 20 solar orbits over aprox 4000 years. It's just not enough time, even if you allowed for the material to ever end up in such an orbit in the first place.

Pluto and Charon are rounded. The smaller moons are not gravitationally rounded planetary bodies. They are small, irregular bodies orbiting the Pluto-Charon barycenter. Some of them also have chaotic rotations. The system is compact and organized in some respects, but it is also dynamically strange.
Even even one of them is gravitationally rounded, never mind two, you've got big issues with the time scale. There just isn't enough time.
So yes, Pluto is a hard case. I grant that. But describing it as an “exquisitely stable” system of “planetary bodies” makes it sound cleaner than it is.
The orbits in the system are quite well known and can be shown to be stable for at least the next several billion years. I'd call that a pretty exquisite result of the uncontrolled release of mostly water from a planet 4 billion miles distant. That's a bullseye that I don't even know how to aim at.

But if the mechanism is what you are objecting to, then the details of the mechanism matter.

If HPT is proposing supercritical water under extreme pressure, columnated flow, pressure-release acceleration, entrained rock, and related ejecta streams, then reducing that to “an uncontrolled steam explosion” is not answering the theory. It is replacing the theory with a simpler version that is easier to dismiss.

You may still reject HPT’s mechanism. Fine. But the mechanism has to be addressed as stated.
All you're talking about is changing the discussion from one about an omnidirectional explosion where you'd be up against the inverse square law to a discussion where we are talking about shooting thing out of a sort of gun that shot sheets of material from the surface up into space. It only slightly help you because as soon as that material is able to expand, it will begin to do so and it will do so very rapidly in the vacuum of space. Virtually all water whether solid or liquid that made it into space would instantly begin turn into water vapor, most of it instantly. Even if you ignore the fact that this would be basically a secondary steam explosion, and just assumed it was quite slow, it would still create outward pressure, resulting in this material being spread out over vast areas long long long before it ever travel 4 billion miles from Earth and settled into a noticeably elongated but still mostly circular orbit around the Sun.

I do not think this analogy works.

You are imagining material being shot with control over only amount and direction, and then asking whether that alone would create a stable six-body system. But that strips out the very variables that matter: velocity distribution, mass distribution, angular momentum, related ejecta streams, collisions, fragmentation, dissipation, gravitational interaction, and capture.

HPT is not claiming that direction alone magically produces Pluto. It is claiming that material ejected from the same catastrophic event could have related trajectories and velocity ranges, then undergo fragmentation, collision, clustering, capture, and stabilization.

So the analogy does not address the claim. It removes the relevant physical variables and then declares the result impossible.
You do not make dynamic systems easier to explain by adding variables.

Again, Pluto’s system is not six gravitationally rounded bodies.

Pluto and Charon are rounded. The small moons are irregular. That matters.
Not really. Again, if even one of them were gravitationally rounded, it would kill the whole notion. Gravitational rounding is a geological process. It doesn't happen overnight.

That assumes the ejecta behaves like a random shotgun blast of unrelated pellets.

But that is exactly what we are disputing. Related ejecta streams are not the same thing as random pellets moving in all directions at unrelated velocities. Material launched from the same event, from related source regions, and in similar velocity ranges can share a common frame of motion.

Relative velocity matters.
All of the pellets that are shot from a shot gun are all moving at the same speed and in the same direction. This is particularly true when you remove such impediments are air resistance. But the pellets wouldn't stay clumped together because the gas pressure alone is more than enough to push them apart and this would be especially true in a low gravity vacuum.

That is too broad.

The second law does not mean local order can never arise from energetic processes. If it did, gravity could never form rings, disks, clusters, binaries, rubble piles, sedimentary sorting, crystals, or any other locally ordered structure.

The question is not whether order can ever arise after a violent energetic event. It can.

The question is whether HPT has the right energy, trajectories, interactions, dissipation, and time to account for Pluto’s system specifically. That is a fair question, but the second law does not settle it by itself.
No sir! It isn't even a little bit too broad!

Ring systems happen because large clouds of material get all flung off into deep space leaving only those objects that just happen to have started out in a spot where their obit was stable. In other words, it take large lengths of time to create rings systems and even they are billions of times more chaotic that a planetary system with six discreet moons.

At the end of the day, that is your framing.

My framing is different: HPT proposes a catastrophic rupture of the fountains of the great deep, involving high-pressure supercritical water and entrained rock, producing ejecta streams that later undergo gravitational sorting, collision, capture, dissipation, and stabilization.

That may fail. But it needs to fail as HPT, not as “a steam explosion accidentally made six planets.”
Six one way, half a dozen the other. The last of your terms (stabilization) is the one that could never happen and its precisely because of what all the other terms mean.

That is fair as a burden question. HPT does have to account for the relative velocities, trajectories, captures, and final configurations.
More than that it has to account for what we see as the supposed result of all those things.

But that burden is not met or refuted by saying “explosions do not create order” or “the second law proves it impossible.” Those are too broad.
No, they are not too broad. Show me a single exception. Show me the watch that self-assembles itself. Show me the complete sentence typed by an chimp? Show me the correctly ordered English alphabet that was assembled by a chaotic process. It does not happen. It cannot happen. The fact the the second law of thermodynamics applies so broadly is precisely the reason the call it a law.

DNA and other biological systems such as bacterial flagella self-assemble but you acknowledge that as something that is accomplished by design, not by accident.

The actual dispute is whether HPT’s proposed ejecta mechanism, followed by gravitational interaction and stabilization, can account for the scale and organization of the debris populations.

That is where the argument has to be made.
No, that framing begs that exact question.

It is precisely the "stabilization" aspect of your framing that I am directly challenging. Chaos simply does not and cannot create systems such as Pluto and its moons.


No, the second law is not “all the proof anyone needs.”

The second law does not forbid local decreases in entropy or local increases in order in an open system with energy flow, gravity, collisions, and dissipation. If it did, an enormous amount of ordinary physical structure would be impossible.
Understand that you are giving away the farm to any atheist reading this who wants to use your own words to argue in favor of any form of evolution you care to name, whether biological, cosmological or otherwise.

An explosion can scatter material, yes. But the aftermath of an energetic event is not automatically permanent maximum disorder. Material can expand, cool, sort, collide, fragment, shed energy, clump, and become gravitationally associated.
No, it cannot.

Not when you're dealing with these kinds of energies interacting with this much material over billions and billions of miles of distance over the short periods of time we are discussing. If such things happened, there would be no asteroid belt.

So if HPT fails, it fails because its proposed mechanism cannot supply the needed energy, trajectories, capture conditions, and stabilization. It does not fail merely because “an explosion cannot create order.”
The "stabilization" aspect of that is precisely where it fails.

That is still the conclusion, not the demonstration.
I do not need to prove the 2nd law of thermodynamics in order to win this debate. It's only the most tested scientific axiom in the whole history of history.

I agree that Pluto is harder than a comet. I agree that Pluto/Charon is harder than scattered debris. I agree that this is one of the more difficult parts of the debris claim.

But “harder” is not “impossible,” and “not a chance” is not an argument by itself.
"not a chance" was never presented as an argument by itself.

The real question remains whether HPT’s mechanism can account for the mass, energy, relative velocities, trajectories, and stabilization involved. That is the argument to be had.
You're proposing a unimaginably massive shotgun blast that accidentally "stabilized" into a recognizable system. It isn't possible. The world simply does not work that way.
 

Derf

Well-known member
Yes it does prove it.

It proves it for the same reason that Enyart's "Evolve" computer program back in the 90s proves the theory of evolution false. Not because it is mathematically "impossible" but because it is so wildly unlikely that it is practically impossible. Pluto's system did NOT arise by accident as a result of any sort of explosion, steam or otherwise, that happened on Earth a mere 4300 years ago or so.


It could never have been stable in the first place. If you shot that much material from the proverbial shot gun that was the beginning of Noah's Flood, according to the theory, 50 million times, it still would never result in such a complex and exquisitely stable system as we see with the Pluto system.


Yeah and they do it in such a way that the system is stable not over centuries nor millennia but over thousands of millennia. That is, it will remain stable over the next several billions of years.


It matters because there isn't a boat load of debris accompanying the system. It's more or less six discreet bodies, not 600,000 (likely far more than that, really) like it would be if it were a fresh result of a steam explosion from 4 billion miles away.


Yeah, it pretty much is exactly that. All six bodies are in orbital resonance, where one body's orbit is exactly twice or three times as long as another. The only way that would be achievable from any sort of explosion is for it to have started as a cloud of stuff that coalesced over time into those places where stable orbits would naturally fall into place, but then we're back to the fact that the system, according to the theory, has only existed for less than 20 solar orbits over aprox 4000 years. It's just not enough time, even if you allowed for the material to ever end up in such an orbit in the first place.


Even even one of them is gravitationally rounded, never mind two, you've got big issues with the time scale. There just isn't enough time.

The orbits in the system are quite well known and can be shown to be stable for at least the next several billion years. I'd call that a pretty exquisite result of the uncontrolled release of mostly water from a planet 4 billion miles distant. That's a bullseye that I don't even know how to aim at.


All you're talking about is changing the discussion from one about an omnidirectional explosion where you'd be up against the inverse square law to a discussion where we are talking about shooting thing out of a sort of gun that shot sheets of material from the surface up into space. It only slightly help you because as soon as that material is able to expand, it will begin to do so and it will do so very rapidly in the vacuum of space. Virtually all water whether solid or liquid that made it into space would instantly begin turn into water vapor, most of it instantly. Even if you ignore the fact that this would be basically a secondary steam explosion, and just assumed it was quite slow, it would still create outward pressure, resulting in this material being spread out over vast areas long long long before it ever travel 4 billion miles from Earth and settled into a noticeably elongated but still mostly circular orbit around the Sun.


You do not make dynamic systems easier to explain by adding variables.


Not really. Again, if even one of them were gravitationally rounded, it would kill the whole notion. Gravitational rounding is a geological process. It doesn't happen overnight.


All of the pellets that are shot from a shot gun are all moving at the same speed and in the same direction. This is particularly true when you remove such impediments are air resistance. But the pellets wouldn't stay clumped together because the gas pressure alone is more than enough to push them apart and this would be especially true in a low gravity vacuum.


No sir! It isn't even a little bit too broad!

Ring systems happen because large clouds of material get all flung off into deep space leaving only those objects that just happen to have started out in a spot where their obit was stable. In other words, it take large lengths of time to create rings systems and even they are billions of times more chaotic that a planetary system with six discreet moons.


Six one way, half a dozen the other. The last of your terms (stabilization) is the one that could never happen and its precisely because of what all the other terms mean.


More than that it has to account for what we see as the supposed result of all those things.


No, they are not too broad. Show me a single exception. Show me the watch that self-assembles itself. Show me the complete sentence typed by an chimp? Show me the correctly ordered English alphabet that was assembled by a chaotic process. It does not happen. It cannot happen. The fact the the second law of thermodynamics applies so broadly is precisely the reason the call it a law.

DNA and other biological systems such as bacterial flagella self-assemble but you acknowledge that as something that is accomplished by design, not by accident.


No, that framing begs that exact question.

It is precisely the "stabilization" aspect of your framing that I am directly challenging. Chaos simply does not and cannot create systems such as Pluto and its moons.



Understand that you are giving away the farm to any atheist reading this who wants to use your own words to argue in favor of any form of evolution you care to name, whether biological, cosmological or otherwise.


No, it cannot.

Not when you're dealing with these kinds of energies interacting with this much material over billions and billions of miles of distance over the short periods of time we are discussing. If such things happened, there would be no asteroid belt.


The "stabilization" aspect of that is precisely where it fails.


I do not need to prove the 2nd law of thermodynamics in order to win this debate. It's only the most tested scientific axiom in the whole history of history.


"not a chance" was never presented as an argument by itself.


You're proposing a unimaginably massive shotgun blast that accidentally "stabilized" into a recognizable system. It isn't possible. The world simply does not work that way.
All shotgun blasts stabilize into recognizable systems. Try it. Shoot a shotgun into the air. All of the pellets will return to stable equilibrium when they hit the ground, passing around the earth at the altitude of zero. Shoot the shotgun at greater than escape velocity and the pellets will stabilize in an orbit around the earth or sun or some other object in the solar system or they will leave the solar system. But the ones you continue to see in the solar system will be stable, possibly (probably) interacting with the other pellets in some way. Any that don't crash into another solar system object will be subject to the 3-body problem, and therefore you would have to say that all of the possible resulting configurations are impossible, if the complexity of the resulting sub-system within the solar system is impossible to model due to having more the 2 bodies. You are saying, if I understood you, that the final configuration of the Pluto sub-system is impossible from a chaotic shotgun blast, but that suggests you have solved the multi-body problem that would have formed the system, which you assert is impossible to do.
 
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