Every modern democracy is still standing and are going concerns.
Tytler focused on Athenian democracy. He shows how it died internally before it died externally. Both authors studied all democracies and republics. They all decayed.
You might say, "MODERN democracy is different!". But we see the same symptoms from the same human nature as all the democracies (and republics) that have come before us. Why is doing the same thing going to turn out differently this time?
Too broad. Eventually? That can mean a thousand years.
Could be. But I doubt it based on the symptoms of decay present. Can you not see those symptoms from your ivory tower?
Don't forget, if guns are ever taken, they are never given back. Even for a thousand years. But if we have those guns when it does happen, even in 1000 years, then there will be less bloodshed.
Again, you're as much an elitist as anyone on this board, because the only distinction between you and the next fellow is what you want to see done, or don't.
You don't understand what an elitist is. A fish can't tell it is in water, either, for an analogous reason.
Maybe you fool yourself, believe that you can judge the person you're calling a judge without seeing the inevitable hypocrisy...who knows.
And there it is. An elitist isn't defined as someone who judges. It's someone who won't listen to reasonable arguments people he believes to be his lessors. Such as doubling down when you were shown to have weak statistics.
Or a prosecutor, having discretion, would likely confiscate the weapon and reduce charges. Because that's a fairly horrific scenario and he can do that, just as he could consider breaking the law to rush your child to a hospital. Mostly though, people who speed and get caught aren't doing that.
Great, so if we all keep our guns and use them only for self defense you will take the punishment for us if the prosecutor doesn't use his discretion. Excuse me if I'm not reassured.
I literally just told you why. We have due process. You can't and shouldn't get to enter someone's home on the chance that they might be breaking a law. You have to have probable cause. Because without it your right to the exclusive, quiet enjoyment of your property can't and shouldn't be interrupted by the state.
Unless the quiet enjoyment of someone's property is declared illegal. Then it should be interrupted by the state in order to save lives. I'm just following your logic.
And also, wherever guns are registered the authorities are allowed to go into homes according to your logic, because they will have probable cause. Depending on the gun that presently would include 6 states and DC.
Okay...so you're comparing a woman selling herself reluctantly
No. I said rape. Try again.
It's not a matter of wanting. You can just turn the thing in, or destroy it. You won't be forced to accept payment, but why wouldn't you want the compensation?
In that case that woman can avoid rape by accepting the money.
Yorzhik said:
that the government has made using that gun illegal, then the government owns that gun by necessity.
Town Heretic said:
Doesn't follow by necessity. All that's necessary is that you no longer possess it.
You contradict yourself. By taking control of a thing the government has the right to take possession of it.
Not always true, but in this case, yes. And compensation is offered in the name of equity and fairness. If the state requires your land for a right of way you should be paid for it. And if the state requires you to give up some other property to promote a legitimate state interest it should compensate you.
And compensation for rape becomes prostitution in the name of equity and fairness.
No, your sample is much smaller and cherry picked to promote a point that a larger database won't support.
No, my higher resolution data is at least as large as your low resolution data. Seems like you are ignoring the data I presented, all rural and urban areas, of which Chicago is just a small piece. Even so, this one city, typical of all the rest, puts the lie to your assertion that states are homogenous in the context of violence when criminal violence is actually all bunched up in certain areas... that have a lot of gang activity :think: ... but you want to go after all the people not in those crime areas... :think:
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Yorzhik said:
Where guns are numerous, and in more households
Town Heretic said:
Again, we don't have gun registration here, so we can only really guess who has what.
We estimate close enough.
Now in countries where there is mandatory registration, our European cousins, we know who has what. We also know that the laws in those states promote a dramatically safer society in terms of homicide and gun violence.
And when all guns are registered, it introduces probable cause. Brilliant.
No, it's a buyback because the guns are literally being bought back by the state. What makes it OK, or preferable is the impact of laws ending this sort of weapon's easy access to the stream of commerce on mass shootings and public safety.
It *might* reduce some of the red dots, but it will make the black dots worse.
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No. See, conspiracy theorists rely on open ended paranoia, because "never" is like your earlier use of "eventually." It takes in so much unreckonable time that it forces the reasonable person to take an unreasonable position because of that unreasonable foundation.
It's not a conspiracy, it's human nature. All democracies and republics fall from within in about 200 years (Tytler) or about 300 years/ten generations (Mendenhall).
But, again, it doesn't matter. Once guns are gone, they will never be given back even if the data shows taking the guns didn't slow down criminal violence. And why is that? It's because politicians want a lack of guns just in case they need to turn tyrannical. Even if they have a big army and lots of cops that can roll over a rebellion, for some reason they find the need to take guns first... odd that.
And now you distort the other way. A "few deaths."
Last year it was over 500 deaths and more than double that wounded. And that's without considering the trauma of that on the survivors, on the communities where these take place. And I separate it because it's something we can do something about impacting, now, in this moment.
Where do you get your numbers? Last year it was 57 dead and 50 injured. Are you counting incidents with causes other than crazy people? If you are, you're doing it wrong. If you want to count deaths by other causes than crazy, then we can have a much greater impact by solving those causes before assaulting innocent people that own a thing.
Further, there are over 10,000 homicides a year omitting suicides. A wise person would reduce that number first before he did a politically irreversible act against innocent people.
Most of the gun deaths are from suicide. I'm all for ramping up our support for mental health professionals and measures in relation to gun ownership.
Here you are admitting it's not the guns.
And isolating on a thing with precedent that we can accomplish in the here and now to positive effect isn't appealing to emotion
You've yet to show any surety of a positive effect. Taking innocent peoples property in hopes of reducing the red dots and increasing the black dots is a negative effect to everyone but an elite. Your homogenized stats being wrong leaves you with only emotional appeal.
any more than you're appealing to reason with paranoid, open ended fantasy.
Not only will there be more death when you take away innocent people's guns used for defense, but there is much more evidence of societal breakdown than the contrary since your counter argument rests entirely on your high brow opinion.
It helps if you actually quote me, not just repeat a thing with quotation marks. That only really shows that you believe I did.
You said the guns you were confiscating were a small percentage. But semi-autos, by conservative estimates, are 40%-60% of guns in circulation. If you want to claim you are only confiscating AR or AK style guns, then whatever defines them will be changed to whatever semi-auto is allowed. For instance, during the AWB the pistol grip was used as an identity feature on AKs. Changing to a standard stock, or selling with no stock and leaving that to the customer to come up with their own, was a simple fix to that tyrannical move and rifle sales actually increased. These rifles had the same functionality of any other AK or any other magazine fed semi-auto rifle.
Which brings up your high-cap magazine ban. Since magazines are trivial to store, easy to forget about, and can even be 3D printed, it puts a large burden on innocent people.
Jesus talked about people like you when He said, "They pile heavy burdens on people's shoulders and won't lift a finger to help."
That said, and understanding that a lack of registration laws make it a difficult guess,
It's not that hard. Between surveys and looking at what has been manufactured we have a close enough estimate. All registration does is introduce probable cause.
Congress did a report on it in 2012 and estimated it to be around 3% of gun owners. Even if that's doubled it wouldn't begin to be in common use. The AG of Maryland used it in arguing for restrictions.
So you aren't talking about semi-autos? You realize that an AR and AK are the same as any other magazine fed semi-auto, right?
Beyond that, as soon as there is another mass shooting, with let's say, a shotgun like the one used in the naval yard shooting, then we are back with your same argument to reduce innocent people down to breech loaders.
The problem with that is that a lot of those guns are in police departments and the hands of collectors. Otherwise, the rise in the popularity of the gun has really been a recent development, in part due to a prior ban. You'll see gun companies trying their hardest to promote it though, because they know they don't have the numbers and the clock is ticking.
Since you admit the clock is ticking on innocent people, you should probably stop calling respected scholars like Tytler and Mendenhall paranoid fanatics.
Yorzhik said:
You ignored the question... If someone were to propose taking guns that shoot more than one bullet per reload how would the argument be different?
Town Heretic said:
I'm not ignoring the question. You're ignoring the context. It's never been an all of nothing approach. It's always been and I've always argued for a rational balancing of interests, in approaching what technology has done to the landscape.
So you are saying the context is your personal opinion on what is "fast". But the argument is still the same if your opinion changes. Someone could use, say, a pump action shotgun and shoot 8 people in 4 minutes... that's fast. How is your argument different?
There's just no rational argument behind support for ARs. They're unusual, dangerous, uncommon, and a threat to our security. They haven't been a part of our exercise of the right for most of the life of our nation, nor had a part for the overwhelming number of gun owners in this country. And given what we've learned about their misuse and our inability to address it (see: Dayton) it's time to put an end to them and to large capacity magazines as well.
Also, are you now saying you are only talking about confiscating the AR style rifles? You realize that is irrational, and such a proposal can only rely on emotion to implement don't you? You realize that the AR is the same as any other magazine fed semi-auto? And that magazines can be 3D printed? 3D printed magazines means that criminals will have the high-cap magazines but innocent people won't.
Well, when all this began bump stocks were in play that transformed these into de facto submachine guns. But even as they sit these weapons are much faster than a bolt action rifle and in combination with large capacity magazines it makes them a thing a Winchester couldn't begin to match. When a weapon fires as fast as you can pull the trigger and has a hundred rounds waiting to be spent before you have to reload it's a threat to public safety that can't be reasonably justified.
You realize that bump stocks can now be 3D printed? Meaning criminals get them but innocent people are turned into criminals who have them.
Beyond that, you still have to answer the question about how fast is fast. How will the same argument you're using be different if, let's say, a person with a pump shotgun shoots 8 people in 4 minutes?
The problem is the ease with which these specific weapons and accoutrements accomplish killing large numbers of people in very narrow windows of time.
Beyond your opinion, what is the objective measure of how easy "ease" is?
No, it doesn't. We register our cars. Does it impact our ability to use them? And some guns just don't belong in the hands of people who aren't in uniform and the service that requires them, supra.
Guns that don't belong in the public will be considered dangerous. If the government knows in who's house a dangerous thing is, they have an obligation to go into the house to get it. That will be important when your argument is used to get any gun that shoots more than 1 round per reload after your argument is used when the next crazy person does a mass killing.
Yorzhik said:
How does being less free stop crazy people?
Town Heretic said:
So the premise is junk, but what taking easy access to these weapons does is make it harder to get and as a consequence less likely they'll be used to cause mass murder in our churches, mosques, synagogues, concert halls, schoolyards, etc.
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You didn't demonstrate anything wrong with the premise, you just used an emotional argument and restated your claim.
The question remains. How does taking guns from innocent people stop crazy people?
Actually, what we know is that every nation with stronger gun laws is safer and that while we have more of the worlds guns we're far less safe than those European democracies I've noted, all of which have cities, hinterlands, poor people, criminals, video games, etc.
Actually, because the data is homogenized it is misleading. We have better data and it shows more guns equals less violent crime. This has been demonstrated repeatedly in previous posts, but you ignore the data.
Yorzhik said:
So when a crazy person kills a bunch of people with a lever action rifle how will the argument be different since a lever action rifle can kill people a lot faster than a breech loader can. Or don't you think someone can kill 4 people with a lever gun?
Town Heretic said:
As I said the last time you ignored it, "The question for me is balancing the reasonable exercise of the right, which can accomplish any number of legal acts, with the danger of the instruments permitted for those purposes. I think ARs cross the line where the benefit is outweighed by the risk they pose to public safety, demonstrably. People weren't doing that with lever action Winchesters and for good reason, Carrying capacity, the time it takes to chamber, aim, fire, and chamber the next round, etc."
So to cut off your ongoing domino theory, we have a right to bear arms. Risk will come with that right. We may accidentally shoot ourselves or someone else. We may kill ourselves or someone else. We may shoot an endangered member of a species with a rifle meant for legal sport, and on and on. Some risk is unavoidable if we are to maintain a right that permits all sorts of beneficial uses, from self-defense to hunting, to purely recreational enjoyment. The AR doesn't belong in that group for the reasons noted prior.
Not only does your arbitrary line on what is reasonable change the argument for further gun confiscation, but how much risk that comes with the right is just as arbitrary. You still haven't shown how the same argument you're using will be different if, let's say, a person with a pump shotgun shoots 8 people in 4 minutes?
Yorzhik said:
Yeah, laughing at the little people is one of the favorite things elitists do.
Town Heretic said:
Sure, but you laughing at little people is mean.
I enjoy laughing at you trying to repeatedly slap the elitist label on people you're judging yourself superior to.
Elitists can be wrong. You've been shown you're wrong on the stats you use to try and bolster your argument. The difference is that I consider your argument and weigh it against my own while you ignore arguments from people you consider your lessors.
No, I propose we outlaw a gun and magazines that are a needless risk to public safety. I oppose weapons whose legitimate tasks can be had with others that lack its singular distinction of being capable of killing a large number of people in a few breaths.
Most people have never owned one. Most of the life of our nation the exercise of the right did not entail them. What they can do that makes them different is not a thing anyone should desire, so their elimination will cost us nothing meaningful, while their possession continues to cost us a great deal, from Sandy Hook to the next schoolyard or church, or public gathering where we'll count the dead.
Your claim that semi-autos are a needless risk to public safety has been shown to be wrong according to the data. Your opinion laden declarations to the contrary are a further indictment of the weakness of your argument.