Tonight we have the Titans on the road at Jacksonville and favored by 1.5...only the turmoil on the coaching and defensive side coupled with the lack of offensive coherency for Jacksonville leads me to take Tennessee going away.
Tonight we have the Titans on the road at Jacksonville and favored by 1.5...only the turmoil on the coaching and defensive side coupled with the lack of offensive coherency for Jacksonville leads me to take Tennessee going away.
Me too!
I'm going to have to face facts, Jerry. With my math I'm a prognosticating Einstein. Without it, I'm the guy who washed Einsteins car. lain: When someone helped him.Wrong again!
Wrong again!
Atl @ Ind (2.5): Indy is better without Luck than I thought they'd be, but the Falcons just got a tough win at home against the Eagles but this one is on the road, where the Birds don't fare well...the Colts won @ Ten last week on the road. I'm going to begin my "Colts as dark horse" routine now and take Indy in a pick'em game.
Cin @ Buf (6.5): at home I'd be conflicted, but in Buffalo, even though it's a lot of points against a team that looked anemic at home and is due for a rebound game, I'm taking the Bills.
Miami @ Dal (21.5): that's an ungodly point spread. Can any team be that comparatively bad? We'll see, but this is purely a heart chance to keep it closer by the Fins...and I don't think theirs is beating. Give me Dallas to cover the ridiculous. I mean, who wants to be the team that Miami kept it close with?
Den @ GB (7.5): I think this week is the week when Rodgers' offense catches fire to help that suddenly stout defense and everyone begins to more seriously consider the chance that the most talented qb of a generation may be chasing hardware. I'll take the Pack 31-17.
Det @ Phi (6.5): the Eagles need a balm after that road loss to Atlanta and Detroit had trouble finding points against a Chargers team that looks to be one of the fall offs from last years playoff run, sadly. I'll take Philly in a statement game.
Bal @ KC (6.5): this is the game of the week. I get that Mahomes may be the next great one from the new generation, but he still plays for a team with a suspect defense and there has to be at least one road line upset for the week. I'm going to take Baltimore to kick the card table over.
Oak @ Min (7.5): the Raiders aren't very good and the Vikings are...and in their backyard. I'll take the Vikes to cover easily.
Jests @ NE (22.5): a bigger line than Miami? Wow. And I can see it, but I'm going to side with the underdog on this one. New York will need/have to slow this one down and emphasize the running game and short pass. It won't work, but it may keep this one from being worse than it has to be...essentially I see this one being at best a 33-14 affair. At worst? Think 45-3 ish...because they weren't a completely horrible team trying to be horrible I'm going to go against the notion of two historically big lines coming true in the same week and choose this one as my upset. I'll take the Jets. Mostly because they deserve better. The football gods will not punish them as they will Miami.
Gia @ TB (6.5): the clock is ticking on Winston and the folks in Tampa are grumbling. The fans in New York are having a bittersweet prep-parade in celebration of the future king. The smart money is on a cover. I'm feeling bold...sort of...I'll say here comes a moral victory for the Giants hopefuls and a "Whew" for Winston's agent. Give me the Giants to spoil the cover in a closer Tampa victory, say 28-24.
Car (2.5) @ Arz: Given the state of Cam, taking Arizona for the "upset" doesn't really feel like a stretch.
NO @ Sea (4.5): the Saints aren't a great road team to begin with and without Brees (and with Teddy still brushing off the rust) it's hard for me to see this not being Seattle's game to lose. Seattle at home in double digits.
Pit @ SF (6.5): the other AFC team primed to fall off, along with the Chargers, but for a more comprehensible reason. Too many good pieces off the board and SF is looking the way we they did before Jimmy's injury. I had the Niners by 6 before Ben went down. That has to be worth double digits. Come on Niners!
14. Hou @ LAC (3.5): the Chargers need to reconsider paying Gordon. His from line of scrimmage contributions are the difference in the Bolts' play. Maybe this week will drive that one home. I'm taking the Texans in a mild road upset. They'll either hold it to a fg or win outright.
LAR (2.5) @ Cle: a statement game for both teams early. This is actually a pick'em game for me. Both qbs need to regain their form from last year. Almost no one likes the Browns to manage it. Me either. Rams.
Chi (4.5) @ Was: a great defense is your only surety on the road, but that Bears offense...I see this as more of a defense, chip shot fg sort of game, so I'll take Washington.
And now he's filing a lawsuit for his signing bonus, naming the Pats and Kraft. Yeah, that's going to make your NFL future secure, suing an owner who tried to help you. lain:Patriots say bye-bye to Antonio Brown!
A decent day yesterday. I'm 10-4, though I did change my mind on the Carolina game.
Well, we'll see.Now you are back to your old self.
It's hard without a system...went back today and figured the math on this week. I'd be one game ahead of where I am, so that's not bad. I have Chicago winning by 3, so the math is telling me to go with the Redskins...but everyone and their mother says take the Bears. I'm on the verge, but I'll stick with my instinct and ride the math.I did so bad I don't want anyone to know how bad. I too am back to my old self.
Biggest win while significantly off:
CBM: Car 25, Arz 21
AS: Car 38, Arz 20
So the math said a squeaker with Car by 3 and bam, 18...
This year, so far, it wouldn't be a big difference. He's been playing hurt and hurt the team. They need him sitting until he's actually 100%. Let the young man help the way Teddy is in New Orleans.That's also with cam as QB, not the newbie..