WizardofOz
New member
You've moved the goal posts. The conversation with The Barbarian was about homicide rates. Now you're referencing "higher crime averages".No. Barbarian was discussing higher murder rates being a direct result of who was in office. A correlation, at best, but a false one.
Furthermore, it is like comparing ice cream sales to homicide. Both go up in the summer. They are correlating, but not causational, which is Barbarian's implication.
You first jumped into the conversation with the following post:
The statistic is skewed, because it includes acts of terrorism, which cares not for who is in office. September 11 inevitably tips the percentage towards Republicans.
It isn't that the statistics are rigged, just dishonest. Thus, implying a false conclusion.
It has been shown that the statistics do not include acts of terrorism. September 11 does not tip the percentage toward republicans.
Agreed?
I agree that who is president is a correlation and not necessarily a causation of crime statistics, but that was the conversation that was taking place. ClimateSanity started with:
Which was when @TheBarbarian offered the statistics of lower crime during Democrat presidencies, which is true.What makes you think leftists are actually interested in ending crime?
TheBarbarian even offered a disclaimer in his post:
Now, you could argue that leftists are indifferent to crime and lower crime happens as a consequence of other things they do, and that rightists want to lower crime, but just aren't very good at it.
Or you could try the usual excuses:
"The statistics are rigged!"
or
"They were just lucky!"
Whatever you like.
So, what was dishonest about the statistics and what false conclusion was he implying?
If you want to talk about "higher crime averages" then provide the numbers and define the scope. I am not even disputing your claim just noting that you clearly moved the topic from homicide rates to "higher crime averages", whatever that is even referring to.I did. They are in my source link. It was an FBI publication from 2016.
So, I did not move the goal posts. I instead challenged false implications with statistics published by the FBI, highlighting the classification of "violent crime."
The conversation was homicide rates. Why did you bring up "higher crime averages" in the first place? Also, what conclusions are you drawing from your F.B.I data?
What statistics that you referenced challenge which false implications?
Please be more precise.
The lack of a jump was my entire point on the faulty nature of Barbarian's implications.
No, that was a mistaken claim by you. You thought September 11th attacks were included. They were not. That is why there was no jump as would otherwise be expected.
Also, why are various terrorist attacks not included, but others are? One need only review key years and data for those years to see convenient forgetfulness of certain murders. For example, the Orlando Club shooting. September 11. These were murders. Sure, caused by terrorists, but still murder. Conveniently left out of "murder rate statistics." But a Cuban communist terrorist shooting five people is included.
That's just the way these things are defined. I don't think there is a partisan angle to it. And, this just further proves TheBararian's point about the murder rate in 2001 being what it was with September 11th not included in the data. If September 11th was not included and the Pulse nightclub shooting was, it would make Republican numbers look better at a glance versus those of a Democrat presidency.
Or, those deaths were not included in the statistics. Which do you think is the more plausible explanation? :think:
Or, what was going on during Reagan and H.W. Bush's as far as homicides were concerned...The homicide rate was 9.8 the first year of Reagan's presidency. It went down to 8.4 in his last. The homicide rate was 8.7 during the first year of H.W. Bush's presidency. It went up to 9.2 during his final year as president. The homicide rate was 9.5 during the first year of Clinton's presidency. It went down to 5.5 during his final year.See? It is all about convenient classifications.
What do "convenient classifications" have to do with anything? Please expound.
Why be so vague ("violence") when the discussion was already quite specific (homicide)?You are focusing on one word, rather than the point. Violence is a part of "violent crime." It is also a part of "murder." It isn't being vague; it is being general in order to cover anyone's attempt at interchanging terms.
Sure, but you must admit that no one was discussing anything but homicide rates until you brought this up...which is fine but this is why I mentioned moving the goal posts.
The statistics do support that since 1950 the homicide rate was lower during Democrat administrations that it was during Republican ones.Why are we using 1950? Is it because Democrats were conservatives and Republicans more liberal, then? It does help in tipping those rates and percentages.
It makes no difference to me how far you go back...Pick your time frame.
I was only discussing what was already on the table.
What statistics were false?No. I only exposed false conclusions and statistics.
Your applications of fallacies, such as moving the goal posts, to me, is faulty. Sure, you tried to point out "vague" vocabulary, yet all the while ignoring Barbarian's false implications of cause. This, combined with the claim that I altered the narrative is an attempt at attacking character, a fallacy in itself, as it is not a valid argument.
No, you are mistaken here as well. Moving the goal posts attacks your argument and is therefore not an ad hominem.
I would say that claiming I "moved the goal posts" is misrepresenting. If you notice the data I utilized, the phrasing is "violent crime." Sure, Barbarian first "used murder rates," but that was not his point, as evidenced by his conclusion. So, I never moved goal posts; I addressed the issue that Barbarian chose, based on his false conclusion.
He discussed homicide rates and you then shifted the discussion to average crime rates, which was moving the goal posts. It's fine as this alternate data does nothing to bolster your argument, as I showed.
Second, why do statistics presented by yourself consistently highlight Bush Sr, yet no mention of Bush Jr? Interesting when one examines those statistics.
Because that is how you framed the discussion:
For example, Clinton's presidency had higher crime averages than Bush or Reagan.
Put the presidencies in order...Reagan -> Bush Sr. -> Clinton
Why didn't you mention Bush Jr? I was simply going off your (shown to be inaccurate) claim.