We should not be surprised at the outcome we are now seeing. Nineteen months ago, when President Trump invoked emergency powers (bypassing Congress) to announce his first tariffs, the experts (economists, Wall Streeters, business leaders, historians and even politicians) warned of the damage that would occur and the inevitable lose-lose trade war that would emerge.
It took time, but the repercussions now are upon us.
The bottom line
Today’s (Friday, August 30) Consumer Sentiment Survey final August results confirmed the worst: consumers, the main support in this economic period, are anxious and ready to retreat. The large, unresolved tariff and trade wars’ adverse effects, visible in the manufacturing data, now have hit home with consumers. Therefore, the economy is in jeopardy, and that means the stock market, convertible bonds, and lower rated bonds are dangerous places to invest.
The best strategy looks to be cash reserves.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/johnto...e-for-bear-market-and-recession/#6a32ee9a27d6
It took time, but the repercussions now are upon us.
The bottom line
Today’s (Friday, August 30) Consumer Sentiment Survey final August results confirmed the worst: consumers, the main support in this economic period, are anxious and ready to retreat. The large, unresolved tariff and trade wars’ adverse effects, visible in the manufacturing data, now have hit home with consumers. Therefore, the economy is in jeopardy, and that means the stock market, convertible bonds, and lower rated bonds are dangerous places to invest.
The best strategy looks to be cash reserves.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/johnto...e-for-bear-market-and-recession/#6a32ee9a27d6